Alright, let’s talk about Ukrainian drones hitting Yamal.

By Pamela Dean (@pameladean1959.bsky.social)
Published:

ukrainian drones just hit yamal, and if you dont know why thats hilarious, imagine a drone showing up in the middle of siberia where the only thing more common than gas is a guy named sergei who thinks a banana is western propaganda. this isnt just a flex, its a message: nowhere is safe, not even the kremlin’s piggy bank. and now xi jinping is giving putin the “bro, you good?” look while the whole regime sweats like a conscript with a rusty ak.

from “lol nice try” to “wait, they hit what?!”

ukrainian long-range drone strikes went from “cute attempt” to “holy shit, they hit yamal?” faster than a russian general can lose a yacht. first it was belgorod, then kursk, then oil refineries in tatarstan, and now yamal. for the uninitiated, yamal is where the gas comes from, the stuff that keeps moscow’s lights on and the oligarchs’ yachts floating in cyprus.

hitting yamal is like walking into the boss’s office and slapping him with his own wallet. it’s not just about blowing up pipes, it’s about showing the whole world that the russian resource base is a target now. the old “we have infinite resources, you cant touch us” card? ripped up and set on fire, live on tv.

the kremlin’s whole war machine runs on that gas money. ukraine’s not just hitting soldiers and tanks, they’re going after the cash that pays for the soldiers and tanks. every drone strike is a reminder that the real front line is wherever the money is.

china’s patience is running on fumes

for years, putin sold the idea that russia is china’s best buddy, the reliable supplier, the big strong partner who’ll keep the gas flowing east when the west gets uppity. but what happens when those pipelines arent so reliable? what happens when every time you try to build a new one, some drone shows up and turns it into a bonfire?

china’s looking at russia not as a partner, but as a liability. xi jinping is not in the business of betting on losers. the “power of siberia” pipeline? putin’s been begging china to bankroll that thing for years. china’s been ghosting him harder than a tinder date who saw your lada. five years of “maybe later, bro.” why? because china’s not stupid. they see the writing on the wall.

the real galaxy brain take is china’s just waiting for russia to collapse so they can scoop up the resources on the cheap. xi doesnt need a strong russia, he needs a weak, desperate one that’ll sell him gas for pennies.

the myth of russian invulnerability is dead

last time anyone hit this deep into russia was the luftwaffe in 1943, and even then, they barely scratched the surface. now ukraine’s doing it with drones that cost less than a russian general’s watch. that’s not just embarrassing, it’s a sign the old rules dont apply anymore.

the kremlin’s inner circle used to laugh at sanctions while buying villas in nice and sending their kids to london. now they’re watching their cash cows go up in smoke and their chinese “friends” start to look for the exit. zelensky says he’s getting signals from inside putin’s camp that they want out. reuters says abramovich has been shuttling messages back and forth. when the guys who bankroll the regime start talking about peace, you know the vibes in moscow are less “victory parade” and more “who’s got a spare passport?”

the regime can spin all they want, but every new strike is a reminder that the war is coming home, and no amount of z-patriotism can change that.

pressure from the “friends”: china and india

putin loves to act like he’s got beijing and delhi on speed dial, but the reality is a little less bromance and a lot more “bro, you’re making us look bad.” xi has been telling putin to find a peaceful solution, and modi straight up called him out in public. when your two biggest customers start hinting that your war is bad for business, you either listen or you end up selling gas to yourself at a loss. spoiler: russia’s already halfway there.

modi’s been playing both sides, but even he’s getting tired of the circus. when the guy who buys your oil at a discount starts telling you to stop embarrassing yourself, you know you’ve lost the plot. russia’s running out of friends, and the ones they have left are only sticking around for the cheap gas.

china wants stability, cheap resources, and a weak neighbor who knows his place. the last thing they want is a russia that’s so unstable it can’t deliver the goods. that’s why xi keeps telling putin to wrap it up. not because he cares about ukraine, but because he cares about business.

the west: not blinking, just watching the fireworks

the kremlin keeps hoping europe will get cold, the americans will get bored, someone will blink first. but so far, the only ones blinking are the ones watching their oil fields explode. the west isn’t perfect, but they’re not about to hand putin a win just because he’s throwing a tantrum.

every new ukrainian drone strike is a reminder that supporting ukraine isn’t just the right thing to do, it’s the smart thing. a weak, desperate russia is a lot less scary than a strong, confident one. the only thing getting denazified is the russian budget.

the propaganda machine is working overtime, but even the best spin doctors can’t turn a burning gas field into a win. every new strike is a reminder that the war is coming home, and no amount of z-patriotism can change that.

the elites: rats, meet sinking ship

the ones who actually run the show? they’re not stupid. they see the sanctions biting, the economy shrinking, the brain drain turning moscow into a retirement home for fsb colonels. they see china cozying up to anyone who might be in charge after putin. they see the writing on the wall, and it says “time to cash out.”

the only thing keeping them in line is fear - of putin, of each other, of what happens if the whole thing comes crashing down. but fear only works until the first guy jumps ship. then it’s a stampede.

zelensky even said he’s getting signals from inside putin’s camp that they want out. reuters reported that abramovich - the oligarch courier - has been shuttling messages back and forth. when the guys who bankroll the regime start talking about peace, you know the vibes in moscow are less “victory parade” and more “who’s got a spare passport?”

the myth of russian invincibility is dead, and everyone knows it - especially the people who matter.

where does this go? follow the smoke

ukraine’s drone campaign is doing more than just blowing up stuff. it’s forcing russia to spend money it doesn’t have, defend territory it can’t protect, and answer questions it doesn’t want to hear. it’s making china rethink its whole strategy, making the elites in moscow look for the exits, and making the west realize that supporting ukraine is the best investment they’ve made in decades.

the kremlin can spin, cope, and threaten all they want. they can talk about denazification, nato conspiracies, and the glory of the motherland. but the only thing they’re exporting is excuses and body bags. the resource base is burning, the pipelines are leaking, and the only thing growing is the list of people looking for a way out.

so yeah, ukrainian drones hit yamal. and that’s not just a headline, it’s a turning point. the circus is still in town, but the clowns are starting to realize the tent’s on fire.

if you’re still buying the kremlin’s line that everything’s under control, i’ve got a bridge in crimea to sell you. cheap. just watch out for drones.

russian tv: nato is divided, the west is weak, and we are strong. reality: the only thing getting divided is the loot, the only thing getting weaker is the ruble, and the only thing strong is the smell.