Alright, let’s talk about Day 1667 in the land of eternal “almost

By Michael Frey (@michaelfrey1910.bsky.social)
Published:

russian fuel crisis so bad even the propaganda machine is running on fumes, and thats the only thing still running. day 1667 in the land of almost victory, where the only thing more inflated than gas prices is the kremlins ego.

fuel crisis: mad max but with more babushkas

tyumen, oil and gas capital of russia, is out of gas. thats like kentucky running dry on bourbon, except nobody in tyumen is laughing. whole regions like saratov, penza, surgut, all bone dry. biggest refineries in leningrad and nizhny novgorod are offline, either because drones smoked them or because "planned maintenance" means "we cant fix it and we’re too broke to try."

lines at gas stations are so long you could film a time lapse and watch the seasons change. people driving 50 km just to fill up, and half the time they get there and the only thing on tap is disappointment. gazprom promises new deliveries, lukoil only serves people with special fuel cards, and even then its a lottery. gas prices up in 53 regions, which is not a blip, its a national punchline.

the regime says "everythings under control, comrades!" sure, and my neighbors lada is a tesla. the only thing stabilizing is the number of empty pumps. "import substitution" is now just a warning label. refineries cant get parts because of sanctions, so when something breaks, it stays broken. the only thing theyre substituting is hope for despair.

drone strikes, broken refineries, and the regime’s favorite bucket

this is not just bad luck or "western sabotage." ukraine is hitting russian oil infrastructure with drones like its a sport. every week, another refinery goes up in smoke. the regime cant protect its own backyard, so they just pretend its not happening.

second wave of the fuel crisis rolled in so quietly that by the time people noticed, they were already pushing their cars home. its only going to get worse in the fall, when more refineries need repairs they cant afford or cant get parts for. governments solution? loosen restrictions on how much gas you can buy. thats like giving out more buckets during a flood and calling it disaster management.

the only thing running in russia right now is the propaganda machine, and even thats running on fumes.

levada center says fewer people are reporting stress or fear. not because things are better, but because theyre numb. when you stand in line for gas for three hours and your only entertainment is a babushka cussing out a cop, you either laugh or you cry. most just zone out and call it "normal." not resilience, just learned helplessness with a side of stockholm syndrome.

regions broke, tractors parked, poverty line on the move

the regions are not just tight-budget broke, theyre "cant pay the bills" broke. tractors sitting idle in the fields because theres no fuel. tow trucks parked because they cant afford to run. in saratov and rostov, even city governments are finally admitting theres a crisis, which is like a russian official admitting they have a drinking problem—rare and usually too late.

the only thing moving in these regions is the poverty line, and its heading south fast.

meanwhile, ukraines offensive keeps grinding forward. every time a z blogger screams "ukraine is finished!" the front line moves the wrong way for them. russian army just got stomped under lyman, ships are sinking in novorossiysk, and putins hallucinating about a "peace plan" where he gets to keep what he stole. spoiler: not happening. the only thing the regimes winning is the race to the bottom.

sanctions: the gift that keeps on giving (to everyone else)

next wave of sanctions is coming and the kremlins already sweating. they cant import the tech they need, cant fix their refineries, cant even keep the lights on in half the regions. black markets booming, but you cant run a country on smuggled washing machines and chinese knockoff chips. every time they try to dodge sanctions, they just dig the hole deeper.

the rubles in freefall, brain drain is a stampede, and the only people getting rich are the ones selling fake "imported" goods to desperate vatniks.

propaganda keeps churning. every night on state tv, its the same circus: "the west is collapsing! ukraine is finished! russia is stronger than ever!" meanwhile, the only thing collapsing is the russian economy, and the only thing finished is the patience of anyone who still believes this crap. regime launders its failures through state tv, but the stains keep showing up in the real world—empty shelves, empty pumps, empty promises.

mobilization, theft, and the new normal

regimes gearing up for another round of mobilization, because nothing says "winning" like needing more cannon fodder. theyll call it "voluntary," but everyone knows what that means. the only thing more voluntary than russian mobilization is a mugging. people are bracing for it, but the propagandas got them so spun around theyre not even sure what theyre supposed to be afraid of anymore. one week its nato, next its "internal enemies," next its just "bad luck." only constant is someone else is always to blame.

regime keeps robbing the country blind. oligarchs shipping cash to dubai, kremlins cronies buying up villas in turkey, and the average russian is left with a lada that wont start and a neighbor whos just as broke. but hey, at least they can watch state tv and feel superior to the rest of the world, right? nothing like a little "patriotic pride" to keep you warm when the gas runs out.

heres the punchline: this isnt a temporary crisis. this is the new normal. regime cant fix it, wont admit it, and the only plan theyve got is to keep lying until the wheels fall off. fuel crisis isnt just about gas, its about a system so rotten it cant even keep the lights on in its own house. sanctions arent just hurting the oligarchs, theyre gutting the whole economy. regions arent just broke, theyre being left to rot while moscow throws money at parades and propaganda.

ukraines not just holding the line, theyre pushing it. every drone strike, every blown-up refinery, every russian ship at the bottom of the black sea is another reminder that the "second army of the world" is a marketing line scribbled on a drunk napkin. the only thing the regimes good at is exporting excuses and importing misery.

so next time you see a z blogger screaming about "victory" or a kremlin mouthpiece promising "stability," just remember: the only thing stable in russia right now is the supply of bullshit. fuel crisis is just the latest episode in a never-ending sitcom where the punchline is always the same—"its the wests fault!" meanwhile, the rest of us are just watching the circus, popcorn in hand, waiting to see what breaks next.

regime cant bomb its way out of a fuel crisis, cant sanction-proof an economy built on theft, and cant mobilize its way to victory when half the countrys running on empty. the only thing theyre winning is the gold medal in cope. and trust me, the competitions not even close.

russian victory is always just around the corner, right next to the working gas pump and the honest politician. good luck finding any of them.