Day 1665 and the circus is in town, folks.

By ldffpajp.bsky.social (@ldffpajp.bsky.social)
Published:

day 1665 and the kremlin clown car just keeps circling the block. ukraine’s pushing near lyman, donetsk miners are done being cannon fodder, another russian general’s gone to the big dacha in the sky, and trump’s out here dropping nuclear word salad like he’s auditioning for a bond villain with dementia. lets break down the latest episode of “how not to run an empire” before the next z-blogger tries to sell us a victory parade in a crater.

lyman: tactical regrouping, bro

remember when russian tv swore they’d “liberate” all of donbas by last tuesday? now they’re liberating their own trenches from themselves. ukrainian forces are pushing again, and the only thing moving faster than the front line is how quick russian telegram channels go from “we’re advancing!” to “it’s a tactical regrouping, bro.” every time the map turns blue, the z crowd posts grainy drone footage and screams about nato, as if a couple estonian migs are why their trenches look like a mud wrestling pit at a tractor festival.

spoiler: it’s not the migs, it’s the fact that half the russian army’s logistics are held together with zip ties and hope. the only thing more fragile than their supply lines is the cope in the comments. every russian “advance” gets announced from a town 600 km from the one they actually lost. those maps are doing more cardio than the conscripts.

the only thing the russian army recycles better than washing machines is their own brass.

donetsk miners: from shovels to protests

meanwhile, back in donetsk, the miners finally realized “special military operation” is kremlin-speak for “shut up and dig until you die or get drafted.” these guys have been propping up the local economy and the war effort for years, but now even they’re done playing extras in putin’s war movie. when the people who literally live underground start protesting, you know the regime’s lost the plot.

the kremlin’s response? same as always:

the only thing more broken than the donetsk coal industry is the regime’s ability to read the room. the regime can’t shoot its way out of this one, but that won’t stop them from trying. the only thing more dangerous to putin than nato tanks is a pissed-off miner with nothing left to lose.

generals: now you see them, now you dont

another week, another russian general clocks out for good. at this point, the average lifespan of a russian general in ukraine is about as long as a tiktok trend. every time one of these guys bites it, russian state tv does the “heroic sacrifice” routine, but even the anchors look bored. the real story isn’t the generals dropping dead, it’s the conveyor belt of clueless replacements who show up, get lost, and end up on a telegram channel as “missing in action.”

the only thing the russian army recycles better than washing machines is their own brass. every new general gets the same pep talk: “here’s your map, here’s your shovel, try not to die before the next news cycle.” spoiler: most of them dont make it to payday.

trump and the nuclear word salad

now, lets talk about trump, because apparently we’re all living in the world’s worst crossover episode. the man’s out here calling nuclear threats “n-rhetoric” and “nukler,” like he’s trying to invent a new brand of energy drink. russian diplomats are quoting jd vance and whining that europe’s “hysteria” is just a plot to infect trump with russophobia, as if the guy’s not already allergic to reading briefings.

meanwhile, jared kushner pops up at a kyiv forum and says “putin wants peace,” and the whole room laughs like he just farted during a funeral. the kremlin’s dream is that trump will show up, cut a deal, and hand them donbas on a silver platter. reality check: the only thing trump’s handing out is confusion and bad grammar.

secret peace plans and diplomatic cosplay

lets not forget the latest round of “secret peace plans” and “diplomatic initiatives.” every few weeks, some trump-adjacent suit flies to moscow or kyiv, promises a breakthrough, and then nothing happens except a bunch of awkward photo ops and a temporary pause in airstrikes. zelensky’s playing along just enough to keep the americans happy, but everyone knows the only “compromise” russia wants is ukraine giving up and the world pretending war crimes are just a cultural misunderstanding.

the us state department keeps issuing ultimatums, russia keeps ignoring them, and the only thing moving forward is the queue for polish residency permits. the only thing getting subsidized is hot air.

kremlin playbook: deny, deflect, distract

meanwhile, inside russia, the regime’s still running the same playbook:

the economy’s a dumpster fire, sanctions are biting, and “import substitution” means slapping a russian sticker on a chinese toaster. the only thing they’re exporting these days is excuses and people trying to get the hell out. every time a refinery blows up or a drone hits a military base, the official line is “nothing happened, but also it was nato, and also we’re winning.” the z-bloggers eat it up, but even the diehards are starting to notice that “victory” looks a lot like “retreat, but with more flags.”

nuclear blackmail: same old song

and then there’s the nuclear blackmail. every time things go sideways, putin dusts off the “maybe we’ll nuke somebody” routine. this week, he timed his latest threat to drop right as the un and nato were meeting, just to make sure everyone was paying attention. russian state reps at the security council are out here saying the real threat is “european hysteria,” not, you know, the country actually threatening to use nukes.

the rest of the world rolls its eyes, but the kremlin keeps playing the same broken record because it’s the only card they have left. the real risk isn’t a mushroom cloud, it’s putin getting desperate enough to poke nato in the baltics and hoping nobody calls his bluff.

us political circus: peace plans and hot air

meanwhile, the us political circus is in full swing. maga world can’t decide if they love ukraine, hate ukraine, or just want to use it as a prop in the next culture war. trump’s team is floating “peace plans” that sound suspiciously like “let russia keep what it stole,” while the democrats are sharpening their knives for another round of investigations if trump wins anything bigger than a golf tournament.

the only thing everyone agrees on is that nobody wants to pay for anything, and the only thing getting funded is more talking points. the kremlin’s betting on chaos, but all they’re getting is reruns.

ukraine: not waiting for permission

back on the ground, ukraine’s not waiting for anyone’s permission. the tech sector’s booming, the army’s learning faster than the russians can invent new euphemisms for retreat, and every time the kremlin claims a city, the ukrainians post a selfie from the local mcdonald’s.

the russian dream is still a lada that starts and a neighbor who’s even poorer, but these days the only thing starting is the next mobilization wave. the regime keeps promising victory, but all they deliver is more dead conscripts and a new batch of sanctions workarounds that last about as long as a russian general in donbas.

the circus rolls on

so what’s the takeaway from day 1665? the kremlin’s running out of tricks, the propaganda’s running on fumes, and even the people they claim to be saving are starting to call bullshit. the front line’s moving, the miners are marching, and the only thing the regime can offer is more empty promises and nuclear threats nobody believes.

trump’s out here doing his best impression of a confused grandpa at a nato summit, and the only people buying the kremlin’s story are the ones getting paid to repeat it. ukraine’s not giving up, the west isn’t buying the peace plan snake oil, and russia’s left with a shrinking map and a growing list of problems they can’t bomb, bribe, or bullshit away.

the circus rolls on, but the clowns are running out of makeup.