Alright, let’s talk about the “broken future” and why the world, including

By jarrodappleton1954.bsky.social (@jarrodappleton1954.bsky.social)
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everyone keeps asking why nobody is having kids, like the whole planet woke up one day and forgot how sex works. spoiler, its not netflixs fault and its not just about being broke or at war. the real answer is messier, and if you think its simple, congrats, you probably still believe in the stork.

the global baby bust

theres a demographic crisis rolling through the world, but its the kind nobody panics about because theres no zombies, no famine, no cities on fire. hospitals are open, people live longer, and yet, by 2026, birth rates are falling off a cliff in dozens of countries. its like everyone hit snooze on the lets have kids alarm at the same time.

used to be, governments freaked out about overpopulation. they were out here sterilizing people, handing out fines, acting like every new baby was a ticking time bomb. now its the opposite, the fear is there wont be enough people left to keep the lights on or pay your pension. and heres the wild part, turning off the baby tap is easy, turning it back on is impossible. once people get used to not having kids, good luck convincing them otherwise. its like asking russians to stop stealing washing machines, not happening.

the money myth gets nuked

lets drag the old rule, the poorer you are, the more kids you have. that meme is dead. in rich countries, its flipped. in sweden and norway, the folks with the fattest paychecks are the ones having more kids. the broke ones? most likely to stay childless. same in italy and the netherlands, if both partners are raking it in, theyre more likely to become parents. if theyre scraping by, not so much.

even in the us, uk, germany, and australia, higher income means higher odds of having kids, for both men and women. so much for the poor breed like rabbits. turns out, in the modern world, you need cash to even think about affording a kid, and if you dont have it, youre out of the game.

taiwan and the semiconductor baby hack

taiwan is the final boss of low birth rates. in 2025, they beat south korea for the worlds lowest. but plot twist, tsmc, the chip giant, employs 0.3% of taiwans population but is responsible for almost 2% of all births on the island. every 50th baby has a parent working there. apparently, if you want to save your countrys demographics, just hand out semiconductor jobs and watch the babies roll in.

meanwhile, the rest of the country is in demographic freefall. its not just about money, its about stability, perks, and maybe knowing your kid wont have to fight for a spot in a shoebox apartment. tsmc is basically running a one-company population policy.

ukraine: demographic doom speedrun

ukraine peaked at over 52 million in 1993. since then, its been a steady slide down. the war didnt start the problem, it just hit fast-forward. ukrainians are getting married later, average age is pushing 30. and the numbers are brutal, since 1993, not a single year where births outnumbered deaths. in some regions, for every baby born, two people die.

kyiv is still cranking out kids, one in nine ukrainian babies is born there, but even there, death rates are up 11% this year. the only places with halfway decent ratios are the western regions, and even thats just less bad, not good.

when the only thing growing is the graveyard, people check out

why nobody wants to spawn

so why arent people having kids? its not just the economy, stupid. sure, money matters, but its also about stability, community, and not feeling like youre on your own. in western ukraine, protestant families have more kids, but its not just about religion, its about having a support network, knowing someones got your back. people are more likely to have kids if they feel they wont be left holding the bag alone.

education and career get blamed a lot, especially for women. the story goes, more women in college, more women with jobs, fewer babies. but when economists actually checked the numbers in the us over 30 years, the drop in birth rates wasnt just about women chasing degrees. its more complicated. when life is unstable, when the future looks like a rerun of russian state tv (bleak, repetitive, and full of lies), people just dont want to bring kids into it.

geography, infrastructure, and the pipe dream

ukraine has a ton of land and not a lot of people. folks with a house, a yard, and a bit of stability are more likely to have kids. maybe the answer is to get people living around cities, not crammed inside them, but that takes infrastructure, roads, schools, jobs you can actually get to. otherwise, its just another pipe dream, like russian democracy.

the bottom line, the world isnt having kids because the future looks busted. its not just about cash, or war, or womens choices. its about trust, stability, and not feeling like youre rolling the dice on your kids survival. when the system feels rigged, when the only thing multiplying is the excuses, people check out. you cant bribe or threaten your way out of that. and if you think some government program or tax break is gonna fix it, ive got a bridge in crimea to sell you.

the real fix? make life suck less. give people reasons to believe tomorrow wont be worse than today. build communities, not just apartment blocks. stop treating people like numbers on a spreadsheet. until then, the only thing multiplying is the excuses. and trust me, ive seen enough russian propaganda to know, excuses dont make babies.

russian tv says the west is dying out because of pronouns, meanwhile their own birth rate is lower than a siberian thermometer. cope harder, lads.